← Matchups

Northern Iowa

· 1-1 · power -4.0 · #230
Our numberEWU -3.9 no book has priced this game

Eastern Washington

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -3.0 · #215
Final UNI 24 · EWU 34 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineEWU to win logged ours 59%

Our number: EWU by 10.7 — EWU to win.

Projected score 26–30 UNI – EWU
2026-09-05 · 7:00 PM Roos Field · Cheney, WA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northern Iowa lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 2005
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Washington Eagles 79 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #223 rush offense Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game edge Eastern Washington Eagles 49 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #174 pass offense Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Run game even 15 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense Northern Iowa Panthers #199 run defense
Pass game even 37 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense Northern Iowa Panthers #201 pass defense
Northern Iowa Panthers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Eastern Washington Eagles Balanced · 48% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Northern Iowa Panthers
TE Brady McCullough 7 rec · 98 yds · 3 TD #11 TE
DB Calvin Jaworski 7 tkl · 1 INT #132 DB
LB John Powers 20 tkl #123 LB
LB Kolben Miller 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #151 LB
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB Bryce Smith 30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT #5 DB
DL Ben Voigtlaender 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #40 DL
LB Myles Mayovsky 33 tkl · 1.0 TFL #33 LB
WR Wesley Garrett 18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD #42 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Northern Iowa Panthers -4.0 -2.5 -1.5 #230
Eastern Washington Eagles -3.0 -0.3 -2.7 #215

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Northern Iowa offense vs Eastern Washington defense+0.2 pts
Eastern Washington offense vs Northern Iowa defense+1.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,268 mi
Altitude · context only464 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.