Our side
MoneylineEWU to win
ours 72%
Projected score
22–32
UNCO – EWU
2026-10-10 · 7:00 PM
Roos Field · Cheney, WA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Washington lead
15–0
· 15 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Eastern Washington Eagles
72 ranks
Northern Colorado Bears #216 rush offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game
edge Eastern Washington Eagles
71 ranks
Northern Colorado Bears #196 pass offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Run game
even
10 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense
Northern Colorado Bears #194 run defense
Pass game
edge Northern Colorado Bears
136 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense
Northern Colorado Bears #102 pass defense
Northern Colorado Bears
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Eastern Washington Eagles
Balanced · 48% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Northern Colorado Bears
DB
Franky Morales
18 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#91 DB
DL
Dominic Butts
10 tkl · 4.0 TFL
#122 DL
DL
Blake Weslin
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#192 DL
DL
Ezra Ekuban
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#226 DL
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB
Bryce Smith
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#5 DB
DL
Ben Voigtlaender
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#40 DL
LB
Myles Mayovsky
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#33 LB
WR
Wesley Garrett
18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#42 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Northern Colorado offense vs Eastern Washington defense-5.3 pts
Eastern Washington offense vs Northern Colorado defense+1.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+10.0
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 805 mi
Altitude · context only704 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.