Our side
MoneylineMTST to win
ours 7%
Projected score
41–17
MTST – EWU
2026-10-17 · 7:00 PM
Roos Field · Cheney, WA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Washington lead
12–7
· 19 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Montana State Bobcats
128 ranks
Montana State Bobcats #16 rush offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana State Bobcats
108 ranks
Montana State Bobcats #17 pass offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Run game
edge Montana State Bobcats
61 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense
Montana State Bobcats #123 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana State Bobcats
218 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense
Montana State Bobcats #20 pass defense
Montana State Bobcats
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Eastern Washington Eagles
Balanced · 48% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Montana State Bobcats
WR
Dane Steel
13 rec · 264 yds · 3 TD
#31 WR
K
Myles Sansted
5 FG · 14 XP · 29 pts
#12 K
RB
Adam Jones
198 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#40 RB
WR
Taco Dowler
16 rec · 180 yds · 1 TD
#107 WR
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB
Bryce Smith
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#5 DB
DL
Ben Voigtlaender
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#40 DL
LB
Myles Mayovsky
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#33 LB
WR
Wesley Garrett
18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#42 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Montana State offense vs Eastern Washington defense+13.6 pts
Eastern Washington offense vs Montana State defense-9.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment-21.4
Altitude · context only754 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 8 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.