Final
MTST 54 · UTU 0
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMTST to win logged
ours 5%
Our number: MTST by 20.6 — MTST to win.
Projected score
42–13
MTST – UTU
2026-08-29 · 10:00 PM
Greater Zion Stadium · Saint George, UT
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Montana State lead
4–0
· 4 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Montana State Bobcats
198 ranks
Montana State Bobcats #16 rush offense
Utah Tech Trailblazers #214 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana State Bobcats
137 ranks
Montana State Bobcats #17 pass offense
Utah Tech Trailblazers #154 pass defense
Run game
edge Montana State Bobcats
51 ranks
Utah Tech Trailblazers #174 rush offense
Montana State Bobcats #123 run defense
Pass game
edge Montana State Bobcats
210 ranks
Utah Tech Trailblazers #230 pass offense
Montana State Bobcats #20 pass defense
Montana State Bobcats
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Montana State Bobcats
WR
Dane Steel
13 rec · 264 yds · 3 TD
#31 WR
K
Myles Sansted
5 FG · 14 XP · 29 pts
#12 K
RB
Adam Jones
198 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#40 RB
WR
Taco Dowler
16 rec · 180 yds · 1 TD
#107 WR
Utah Tech Trailblazers
DB
Jeremiah Jimoh
19 tkl · 3 PD
#40 DB
DB
Quincy Lejay
22 tkl · 1 PD
#45 DB
P
Ryan Marks
17 punts · 46.3 yd avg
#7 P
DB
Brevin Czosnyka
17 tkl
#314 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Montana State offense vs Utah Tech defense+14.6 pts
Utah Tech offense vs Montana State defense-16.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 605 mi
Altitude · context only648 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.