Final
WEB 30 · UNCO 29
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUNCO to win logged
live now: WEB to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 48%
Our number: UNCO by 3.2 — UNCO to win.
Projected score
30–30
WEB – UNCO
2026-08-28 · 9:00 PM
Nottingham Field · Greeley, CO
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Weber State lead
11–1
· 12 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
29 ranks apart
Weber State Wildcats #165 rush offense
Northern Colorado Bears #194 run defense
Pass game
edge Northern Colorado Bears
147 ranks
Weber State Wildcats #249 pass offense
Northern Colorado Bears #102 pass defense
Run game
even
31 ranks apart
Northern Colorado Bears #216 rush offense
Weber State Wildcats #247 run defense
Pass game
edge Weber State Wildcats
59 ranks
Northern Colorado Bears #196 pass offense
Weber State Wildcats #137 pass defense
Weber State Wildcats
Balanced · 58% run
Ball-control
Northern Colorado Bears
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Weber State Wildcats
WR
Noah Kjar
22 rec · 385 yds · 6 TD
#2 WR
LB
Teni Worthen
25 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#52 LB
LB
Zach Smith
10 tkl
#59 LB
P
Henry Way
13 punts · 45.4 yd avg
#13 P
Northern Colorado Bears
DB
Franky Morales
18 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#91 DB
DL
Dominic Butts
10 tkl · 4.0 TFL
#122 DL
DL
Blake Weslin
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#192 DL
DL
Ezra Ekuban
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#226 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Weber State offense vs Northern Colorado defense+5.4 pts
Northern Colorado offense vs Weber State defense+1.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.