Our side
MoneylineEKU to win
ours 63%
Projected score
22–27
WGA – EKU
2026-10-10 · 6:00 PM
Roy Kidd Stadium · Richmond, KY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Kentucky and West Georgia split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
97 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #85 rush offense
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #182 run defense
Pass game
edge Eastern Kentucky Colonels
153 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #207 pass offense
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #54 pass defense
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
189 ranks
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #192 rush offense
West Georgia Wolves #3 run defense
Pass game
edge West Georgia Wolves
146 ranks
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #253 pass offense
West Georgia Wolves #107 pass defense
West Georgia Wolves
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Run-heavy · 64% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
West Georgia Wolves
DL
Dalton Epps
12 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#291 DL
LB
Chidu Bekee
19 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#164 LB
LB
Andrew Ruffin
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#174 LB
WR
T.J. Lockley
12 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
#252 WR
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
LB
Cam Jessee
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#42 LB
DB
Derek Taylor
24 tkl
#137 DB
RB
Brady Hensley
225 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#62 RB
DB
Jeffrey Kinley
19 tkl · 1 PD
#266 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
West Georgia offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense-7.8 pts
Eastern Kentucky offense vs West Georgia defense-5.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+5.0
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.