Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win
ours 92%
Projected score
14–38
EKU – TNTC
2026-10-17 · 2:30 PM
Tucker Stadium · Cookeville, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Kentucky lead
12–4
· 16 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
181 ranks
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #192 rush offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
230 ranks
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #253 pass offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
165 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #182 run defense
Pass game
even
17 ranks apart
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense
Eastern Kentucky Colonels #54 pass defense
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Run-heavy · 64% run
Ball-control
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
LB
Cam Jessee
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#42 LB
DB
Derek Taylor
24 tkl
#137 DB
RB
Brady Hensley
225 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#62 RB
DB
Jeffrey Kinley
19 tkl · 1 PD
#266 DB
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL
Hudson Tucker
10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#46 DL
WR
Gabe Nunez
11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD
#137 WR
WR
Tre' Holloway
12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD
#138 WR
RB
Qua Ashley
120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#119 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Kentucky offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-13.6 pts
Tennessee Tech offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense+5.1 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment+22.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).