← Matchups

West Florida

· 2-0 · power +4.1 · #130
Our numberWEST -14.1 no book has priced this game

Eastern Kentucky

· 1-2 · power -12.3 · #321
Our side
MoneylineWEST to win ours 19%
Projected score 34–20 WEST – EKU
2026-10-24 · 3:00 PM Roy Kidd Stadium · Richmond, KY Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Eastern Kentucky Colonels Run-heavy · 64% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
West Florida Argonauts
DL A'Khoury Lyde 1 tkl #47 DL
DL Cameron Anderson 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #155 DL
DL Carson Ratliff 11 tkl #322 DL
DL Roderick Webb 1 tkl #392 DL
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
LB Cam Jessee 23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #42 LB
DB Derek Taylor 24 tkl #137 DB
RB Brady Hensley 225 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #62 RB
DB Jeffrey Kinley 19 tkl · 1 PD #266 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
West Florida Argonauts +4.1 +2.6 +1.5 #130
Eastern Kentucky Colonels -12.3 -9.4 -2.9 #321

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
West Florida offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense+5.5 pts
Eastern Kentucky offense vs West Florida defense-10.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 524 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.