← Matchups

Utah Tech

· 0-3 · power -10.2 · #297
Our numberPRST -1.8 no book has priced this game

Portland State

· 0-3 (0-1) · power -12.8 · #326
Our side
MoneylinePRST to win ours 54%
Projected score 28–30 UTU – PRST
2026-10-10 · 4:00 PM Hillsboro Stadium · Portland, OR Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Utah Tech Trailblazers 88 ranks
Utah Tech Trailblazers #174 rush offense Portland State Vikings #262 run defense
Pass game even 20 ranks apart
Utah Tech Trailblazers #230 pass offense Portland State Vikings #250 pass defense
Run game even 44 ranks apart
Portland State Vikings #258 rush offense Utah Tech Trailblazers #214 run defense
Pass game edge Utah Tech Trailblazers 70 ranks
Portland State Vikings #224 pass offense Utah Tech Trailblazers #154 pass defense
Utah Tech Trailblazers Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Portland State Vikings Balanced · 56% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Utah Tech Trailblazers
DB Jeremiah Jimoh 19 tkl · 3 PD #40 DB
DB Quincy Lejay 22 tkl · 1 PD #45 DB
P Ryan Marks 17 punts · 46.3 yd avg #7 P
DB Brevin Czosnyka 17 tkl #314 DB
Portland State Vikings
DB Lono Solomon 19 tkl · 2 PD #23 DB
DB Isaac Redford 17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #24 DB
TE Tanner Beaman 16 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD #7 TE
WR Terence Loville 15 rec · 221 yds · 1 TD #70 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Utah Tech Trailblazers -10.2 -6.6 -3.6 #297
Portland State Vikings -12.8 -2.7 -10.1 #326

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Utah Tech offense vs Portland State defense+3.5 pts
Portland State offense vs Utah Tech defense+0.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+0.2
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 757 mi
Altitude · context only792 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.