Our side
MoneylineSUU to win
ours 29%
Projected score
37–28
SUU – PRST
2026-11-13 · 10:00 PM
Hillsboro Stadium · Portland, OR
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Portland State lead
3–2
· 5 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
225 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #37 rush offense
Portland State Vikings #262 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
183 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #67 pass offense
Portland State Vikings #250 pass defense
Run game
even
5 ranks apart
Portland State Vikings #258 rush offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #253 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
101 ranks
Portland State Vikings #224 pass offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #123 pass defense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Portland State Vikings
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
DB
Parker Vance
18 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
#4 DB
TE
Joshua Acord
11 rec · 128 yds · 3 TD
#3 TE
RB
Floyd Chalk
427 rush yds · 6 TD · 4 rec
#6 RB
DL
Myles Amey
9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#103 DL
Portland State Vikings
DB
Lono Solomon
19 tkl · 2 PD
#23 DB
DB
Isaac Redford
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#24 DB
TE
Tanner Beaman
16 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD
#7 TE
WR
Terence Loville
15 rec · 221 yds · 1 TD
#70 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern Utah offense vs Portland State defense+14.1 pts
Portland State offense vs Southern Utah defense+3.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-7.8
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 743 mi
Altitude · context only1,698 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.