Our side
MoneylineSUU to win
ours 30%
Projected score
34–26
SUU – UTU
2026-10-03 · 8:00 PM
Greater Zion Stadium · Saint George, UT
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Southern Utah lead
6–1
· 7 meetings since 2009
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
177 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #37 rush offense
Utah Tech Trailblazers #214 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
87 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #67 pass offense
Utah Tech Trailblazers #154 pass defense
Run game
edge Utah Tech Trailblazers
79 ranks
Utah Tech Trailblazers #174 rush offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #253 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
107 ranks
Utah Tech Trailblazers #230 pass offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #123 pass defense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Utah Tech Trailblazers
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
DB
Parker Vance
18 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
#4 DB
TE
Joshua Acord
11 rec · 128 yds · 3 TD
#3 TE
RB
Floyd Chalk
427 rush yds · 6 TD · 4 rec
#6 RB
DL
Myles Amey
9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#103 DL
Utah Tech Trailblazers
DB
Jeremiah Jimoh
19 tkl · 3 PD
#40 DB
DB
Quincy Lejay
22 tkl · 1 PD
#45 DB
P
Ryan Marks
17 punts · 46.3 yd avg
#7 P
DB
Brevin Czosnyka
17 tkl
#314 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern Utah offense vs Utah Tech defense+7.6 pts
Utah Tech offense vs Southern Utah defense-0.1 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-3.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment-5.1
Altitude · context only906 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.