Our side
MoneylineWIU to win
ours 48%
Projected score
26–25
WIU – CHSO
2026-10-31 · 2:00 PM
Buccaneer Field · Charleston, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Charleston Southern and Western Illinois split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers
111 ranks
Western Illinois Leathernecks #182 rush offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game
even
36 ranks apart
Western Illinois Leathernecks #240 pass offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Run game
even
5 ranks apart
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #215 run defense
Pass game
edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers
45 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #202 pass defense
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Balanced · 46% run
Ball-control
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Western Illinois Leathernecks
LB
Nick Reinicke
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#57 LB
DB
Aa'zoriyon Bonner
9 tkl · 1 PD
#170 DB
DB
Jouvenson Romulus
9 tkl · 1 INT
#376 DB
DB
Brayden Hapner
8 tkl · 2 PD
#458 DB
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB
Tristan Lennon
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#58 LB
LB
Steve Zayachkowsky
22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#80 LB
DL
Josiah Wyatt
17 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#212 DL
DL
CJ Landrum
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#521 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Western Illinois offense vs Charleston Southern defense-4.1 pts
Charleston Southern offense vs Western Illinois defense-5.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment+1.0
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 782 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.