Our side
MoneylineGWEB to win
ours 79%
Projected score
22–35
EIU – GWEB
2026-10-10 · 3:30 PM
Ernest W. Spangler Stadium · Boiling Springs, NC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Gardner-Webb lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
42 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #191 run defense
Pass game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
80 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #167 pass defense
Run game
edge Eastern Illinois Panthers
113 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #135 rush offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
159 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #95 pass offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Eastern Illinois Panthers
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB
Charles Kellom
297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec
#14 RB
LB
Ja'Wuan Nickson
21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#36 LB
DL
Isaac Engle
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#253 DL
DL
Aidan Archibald
4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#340 DL
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
LB
Tre Yanez
31 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#11 LB
DB
Jamarion Ravenell
14 tkl · 2 PD
#30 DB
WR
Kory Jones
18 rec · 288 yds
#58 WR
DB
Sabin McLaughlin
13 tkl · 1 PD
#133 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Illinois offense vs Gardner-Webb defense-4.0 pts
Gardner-Webb offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+6.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.7
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 462 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.