← Matchups

Lindenwood

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -11.9 · #319
Our numberEIU -0.5 no book has priced this game

Eastern Illinois

· 1-2 · power -14.5 · #341
Our side
MoneylineEIU to win ours 51%
Projected score 29–30 LIN – EIU
2026-10-17 · 3:00 PM O'Brien Field · Charleston, IL Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lindenwood lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Illinois Panthers 158 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #180 rush offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game edge Lindenwood Lions 194 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #60 pass offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Run game edge Lindenwood Lions 63 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense Lindenwood Lions #170 run defense
Pass game edge Lindenwood Lions 75 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense Lindenwood Lions #172 pass defense
Lindenwood Lions Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control Eastern Illinois Panthers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Lindenwood Lions
DL Mason Burke 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #152 DL
DL King Smith 8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #182 DL
DB Isaac Edwards 7 tkl · 1 INT #378 DB
DL David Amaliri 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #451 DL
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB Charles Kellom 297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec #14 RB
LB Ja'Wuan Nickson 21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #36 LB
DL Isaac Engle 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #253 DL
DL Aidan Archibald 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #340 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Lindenwood Lions -11.9 -4.9 -7.1 #319
Eastern Illinois Panthers -14.5 -5.9 -8.6 #341

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Lindenwood offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+3.8 pts
Eastern Illinois offense vs Lindenwood defense+1.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+0.2

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).