Our side
MoneylineUTM to win
ours 73%
Projected score
22–32
EIU – UTM
2026-10-31 · 3:00 PM
Hardy M. Graham Stadium · Martin, TN
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
UT Martin lead
16–6
· 22 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
148 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #85 run defense
Pass game
even
1 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #248 pass defense
Run game
edge Eastern Illinois Panthers
177 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #199 rush offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
146 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #108 pass offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Eastern Illinois Panthers
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
UT Martin Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB
Charles Kellom
297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec
#14 RB
LB
Ja'Wuan Nickson
21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#36 LB
DL
Isaac Engle
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#253 DL
DL
Aidan Archibald
4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#340 DL
UT Martin Skyhawks
P
Max Zuluaga
8 punts · 51.4 yd avg
#1 P
DB
Trey Cotton
23 tkl · 1 INT
#12 DB
DL
Chris Wilson
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#78 DL
DB
Jamal Mayers
12 tkl · 3 PD
#73 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Illinois offense vs UT Martin defense-4.5 pts
UT Martin offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+1.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+9.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).