← Matchups

Gardner-Webb

· 0-3 · power -4.1 · #231
Our numberLIB -19.1 no book has priced this game

Liberty

CUSA · 1-1 · power +2.6 · #144
Final GWEB 23 · LIB 24 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineLIB to win logged ours 86%

Our number: LIB by 24.9 — LIB to win.

Projected score 16–35 GWEB – LIB
2026-09-12 · 12:00 PM Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg, VA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread GWEB 68% bets · 33% money · money LIB total Under 60% bets · 53% money ML LIB 96% bets · 86% money
Series Liberty lead 10–4 · 14 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 75 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #135 rush offense Liberty Flames #210 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #95 pass offense Liberty Flames #113 pass defense
Run game edge Liberty Flames 136 ranks
Liberty Flames #55 rush offense Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #191 run defense
Pass game even 4 ranks apart
Liberty Flames #171 pass offense Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #167 pass defense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Balanced · 58% run Avg pace Liberty Flames Run-heavy · 66% run Avg pace
Jamey Chadwell · 64-35

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
LB Tre Yanez 31 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #11 LB
DB Jamarion Ravenell 14 tkl · 2 PD #30 DB
WR Kory Jones 18 rec · 288 yds #58 WR
DB Sabin McLaughlin 13 tkl · 1 PD #133 DB
Liberty Flames
WR Makai Jackson 5 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #139 WR
DB Jiquavious Marshall 7 tkl · 4 PD #222 DB
DL Nathan Pirolli 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #305 DL
LB Derrell Farrar 12 tkl · 1.5 TFL #247 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -4.1 -2.2 -1.9 #231
Liberty FlamesCUSA +2.6 -3.3 +5.9 #144

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Gardner-Webb offense vs Liberty defense-8.1 pts
Liberty offense vs Gardner-Webb defense-1.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.