Our side
MoneylineGWEB to win
ours 43%
Projected score
31–29
GWEB – WIU
2026-11-14 · 2:00 PM
Hanson Field · Macomb, IL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Western Illinois lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
80 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #135 rush offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #215 run defense
Pass game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
107 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #95 pass offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #202 pass defense
Run game
even
9 ranks apart
Western Illinois Leathernecks #182 rush offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #191 run defense
Pass game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
73 ranks
Western Illinois Leathernecks #240 pass offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #167 pass defense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Balanced · 46% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
LB
Tre Yanez
31 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#11 LB
DB
Jamarion Ravenell
14 tkl · 2 PD
#30 DB
WR
Kory Jones
18 rec · 288 yds
#58 WR
DB
Sabin McLaughlin
13 tkl · 1 PD
#133 DB
Western Illinois Leathernecks
LB
Nick Reinicke
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#57 LB
DB
Aa'zoriyon Bonner
9 tkl · 1 PD
#170 DB
DB
Jouvenson Romulus
9 tkl · 1 INT
#376 DB
DB
Brayden Hapner
8 tkl · 2 PD
#458 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Gardner-Webb offense vs Western Illinois defense+6.6 pts
Western Illinois offense vs Gardner-Webb defense+0.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment-3.2
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 609 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.