← Matchups

Jackson State

· 2-0 · power -6.7 · #259
Our numberJKST -9.9 no book has priced this game

Tennessee State

· 0-3 · power -19.1 · #371
Final JKST 26 · TNST 24 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineJKST to win logged ours 29%

Our number: JKST by 7.9 — JKST to win.

Projected score 31–22 JKST – TNST
2026-08-29 · 8:30 PM Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tennessee State lead 14–5 · 19 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 101 ranks
Jackson State Tigers #10 rush offense Tennessee State Tigers #111 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
Jackson State Tigers #75 pass offense Tennessee State Tigers #92 pass defense
Run game edge Jackson State Tigers 234 ranks
Tennessee State Tigers #265 rush offense Jackson State Tigers #31 run defense
Pass game edge Jackson State Tigers 214 ranks
Tennessee State Tigers #255 pass offense Jackson State Tigers #41 pass defense
Jackson State Tigers Run-heavy · 65% run Avg pace Tennessee State Tigers Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Jackson State Tigers
K Andrew Ivaniciuc 5 FG · 8 XP · 23 pts #32 K
RB Nate Blount IV 168 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #125 RB
WR Jabari Jones 7 rec · 173 yds · 1 TD #198 WR
WR Nate Rembert 7 rec · 188 yds #325 WR
Tennessee State Tigers
DB Brendan Hale 21 tkl · 2 PD #93 DB
DL Bryce Gray 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #244 DL
WR Jayden Guy 15 rec · 202 yds #212 WR
P Truette Tumey 15 punts · 43.7 yd avg #32 P

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Jackson State Tigers -6.7 +0.0 -6.8 #259
Tennessee State Tigers -19.1 -16.0 -3.0 #371

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Jackson State offense vs Tennessee State defense+3.1 pts
Tennessee State offense vs Jackson State defense-9.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.