Our side
MoneylineBUT to win
ours 82%
Projected score
24–38
MORE – BUT
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM
Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl · Indianapolis, IN
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Morehead State lead
12–10
· 22 meetings since 2005
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Butler Bulldogs
118 ranks
Morehead State Eagles #250 rush offense
Butler Bulldogs #132 run defense
Pass game
edge Morehead State Eagles
137 ranks
Morehead State Eagles #94 pass offense
Butler Bulldogs #231 pass defense
Run game
edge Butler Bulldogs
124 ranks
Butler Bulldogs #139 rush offense
Morehead State Eagles #263 run defense
Pass game
edge Butler Bulldogs
65 ranks
Butler Bulldogs #113 pass offense
Morehead State Eagles #178 pass defense
Morehead State Eagles
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Butler Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Morehead State Eagles
DB
Tazion McQueen
10 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#96 DB
DB
Sidney Webb
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#125 DB
DB
Isaiah Watts
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#148 DB
WR
Cross Watson
4 rec · 132 yds · 3 TD
#207 WR
Butler Bulldogs
DL
Okemdi Eze
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#316 DL
WR
Nick Munson
5 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD
#234 WR
DB
Steven Stephany
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#457 DB
RB
Desmin Jackson
88 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#209 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Morehead State offense vs Butler defense-0.1 pts
Butler offense vs Morehead State defense+11.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.