← Matchups

Davidson

· 1-2 · power -20.9 · #381
Our numberUSD -10.2 no book has priced this game

San Diego

· 0-2 · power -13.8 · #334
Our side
MoneylineUSD to win ours 74%
Projected score 25–36 DAV – USD
2026-10-03 · 4:00 PM Torero Stadium · San Diego, CA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series San Diego lead 14–4 · 18 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge San Diego Toreros 220 ranks
Davidson Wildcats #247 rush offense San Diego Toreros #27 run defense
Pass game edge Davidson Wildcats 66 ranks
Davidson Wildcats #145 pass offense San Diego Toreros #211 pass defense
Run game edge San Diego Toreros 83 ranks
San Diego Toreros #178 rush offense Davidson Wildcats #261 run defense
Pass game edge San Diego Toreros 83 ranks
San Diego Toreros #120 pass offense Davidson Wildcats #203 pass defense
Davidson Wildcats Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control San Diego Toreros Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Davidson Wildcats
WR Jacary Lightsey 24 rec · 233 yds · 1 TD #50 WR
DL Danzel Chukwuemeka 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #200 DL
DL Jarmal Gilmore 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #223 DL
TE Jack Perozek 7 rec · 62 yds · 1 TD #51 TE
San Diego Toreros
DB Dillon Kellner 6 tkl · 1 PD #347 DB
WR Cole Monach 8 rec · 95 yds · 1 TD #271 WR
TE Carter Pruitt 4 rec · 50 yds #127 TE
RB Omar Mbakwe 102 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec #278 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Davidson Wildcats -20.9 -8.4 -12.5 #381
San Diego Toreros -13.8 -4.3 -9.6 #334

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Davidson offense vs San Diego defense+1.2 pts
San Diego offense vs Davidson defense+8.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,075 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.