← Matchups

Stetson

· 1-2 · power -21.2 · #383
Our numberDAV -3.1 no book has priced this game

Davidson

· 1-2 · power -20.9 · #381
Our side
MoneylineDAV to win ours 58%
Projected score 29–32 STET – DAV
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM Richardson Stadium (Davidson, NC) · Davidson, NC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Davidson lead 10–7 · 17 meetings since 1912
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 23 ranks apart
Stetson Hatters #238 rush offense Davidson Wildcats #261 run defense
Pass game edge Davidson Wildcats 53 ranks
Stetson Hatters #256 pass offense Davidson Wildcats #203 pass defense
Run game even 4 ranks apart
Davidson Wildcats #247 rush offense Stetson Hatters #243 run defense
Pass game edge Davidson Wildcats 87 ranks
Davidson Wildcats #145 pass offense Stetson Hatters #232 pass defense
Stetson Hatters Run-heavy · 71% run Ball-control Davidson Wildcats Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Stetson Hatters
DB Dylan Kelly 15 tkl · 1 PD #227 DB
DL Alex Yearwood 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #344 DL
DB Johnny DeLancy 6 tkl · 1 PD #363 DB
WR Landon Farco 5 rec · 95 yds · 1 TD #339 WR
Davidson Wildcats
WR Jacary Lightsey 24 rec · 233 yds · 1 TD #50 WR
DL Danzel Chukwuemeka 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #200 DL
DL Jarmal Gilmore 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #223 DL
TE Jack Perozek 7 rec · 62 yds · 1 TD #51 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Stetson Hatters -21.2 -8.1 -13.0 #383
Davidson Wildcats -20.9 -8.4 -12.5 #381

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Stetson offense vs Davidson defense+4.4 pts
Davidson offense vs Stetson defense+4.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 448 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.