Our side
MoneylineUNA to win
ours 34%
Projected score
29–23
UNA – WGA
2026-11-14 · 2:00 PM
University Stadium (GA) · Carrollton, GA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
North Alabama and West Georgia split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
122 ranks
North Alabama Lions #125 rush offense
West Georgia Wolves #3 run defense
Pass game
edge West Georgia Wolves
103 ranks
North Alabama Lions #210 pass offense
West Georgia Wolves #107 pass defense
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
110 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #85 rush offense
North Alabama Lions #195 run defense
Pass game
edge West Georgia Wolves
53 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #207 pass offense
North Alabama Lions #260 pass defense
North Alabama Lions
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg
West Georgia Wolves
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Alabama Lions
DB
Tae Martin
23 tkl · 4 PD
#11 DB
DL
Avery Howard
17 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#20 DL
WR
Xavier Johnson
19 rec · 386 yds · 2 TD
#14 WR
DL
Cayden Adkins
11 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#29 DL
West Georgia Wolves
LB
Chidu Bekee
19 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#164 LB
DL
Dalton Epps
12 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#291 DL
LB
Andrew Ruffin
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#174 LB
WR
T.J. Lockley
12 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
#252 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Alabama offense vs West Georgia defense-0.5 pts
West Georgia offense vs North Alabama defense-7.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment-4.0
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).