Our side
MoneylineUT R to win
ours 49%
Projected score
30–30
UT R – UIW
2026-10-17 · 7:00 PM
Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium · San Antonio, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
UT Rio Grande Valley lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
23 ranks apart
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #28 rush offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
147 ranks
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #22 pass offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Run game
edge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
104 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #56 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
160 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros #12 pass defense
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Incarnate Word Cardinals
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
WR
Kyran Lee
18 rec · 301 yds · 2 TD
#27 WR
DB
Alijah Prosser
14 tkl · 5 PD
#68 DB
LB
Spencer Rich
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#72 LB
K
Brysen Gardner
6 FG · 9 XP · 27 pts
#16 K
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL
Jeremiah Young
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#28 DL
RB
Lontrell Turner
153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#60 RB
LB
Christian Barney
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#103 LB
WR
Isaiah Champagne
12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#159 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Incarnate Word defense+6.0 pts
Incarnate Word offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense+3.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.