← Matchups

Dayton

· 2-0 · power -1.6 · #193
Our numberDAY -3.6 no book has priced this game

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our side
MoneylineDAY to win ours 41%
Projected score 30–26 DAY – PRES
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM Bailey Memorial Stadium · Clinton, SC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Dayton lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 150 ranks
Dayton Flyers #191 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game even 1 ranks apart
Dayton Flyers #14 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Run game edge Dayton Flyers 74 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense Dayton Flyers #13 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 68 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense Dayton Flyers #72 pass defense
Dayton Flyers Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Dayton Flyers
TE Donovan Weatherly 8 rec · 110 yds · 2 TD #19 TE
DB Javawn Brooks 7 tkl · 3 INT #210 DB
DL Jace Schaefer 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #313 DL
DL Griffin Suren 4 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #352 DL
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Dayton Flyers -1.6 -3.7 +2.1 #193
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Dayton offense vs Presbyterian defense+3.3 pts
Presbyterian offense vs Dayton defense-2.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.