← Matchups

San Diego

· 0-2 · power -13.8 · #334
Our numberDRKE -3.9 no book has priced this game

Drake

· 0-3 · power -12.8 · #324
Our side
MoneylineDRKE to win ours 60%
Projected score 28–32 USD – DRKE
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM Drake Stadium (IA) · Des Moines, IA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series San Diego lead 15–5 · 20 meetings since 2005
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Drake Bulldogs 79 ranks
San Diego Toreros #178 rush offense Drake Bulldogs #99 run defense
Pass game even 27 ranks apart
San Diego Toreros #120 pass offense Drake Bulldogs #147 pass defense
Run game edge San Diego Toreros 73 ranks
Drake Bulldogs #100 rush offense San Diego Toreros #27 run defense
Pass game edge Drake Bulldogs 122 ranks
Drake Bulldogs #89 pass offense San Diego Toreros #211 pass defense
San Diego Toreros Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace Drake Bulldogs Run-heavy · 69% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
San Diego Toreros
DB Dillon Kellner 6 tkl · 1 PD #347 DB
WR Cole Monach 8 rec · 95 yds · 1 TD #271 WR
TE Carter Pruitt 4 rec · 50 yds #127 TE
RB Omar Mbakwe 102 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec #278 RB
Drake Bulldogs
LB J.R. Flood 35 tkl · 0.5 TFL #37 LB
DL Tyson Shivers 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #77 DL
WR Willis Nofsinger 18 rec · 285 yds · 1 TD #53 WR
WR Hank Foley 14 rec · 215 yds · 1 TD #120 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
San Diego Toreros -13.8 -4.3 -9.6 #334
Drake Bulldogs -12.8 -5.6 -7.2 #324

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
San Diego offense vs Drake defense+3.0 pts
Drake offense vs San Diego defense+4.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,425 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.