Final
MRST 21 · NHVN 22
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNHVN to win logged
live now: MRST to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 39%
Our number: NHVN by 6.2 — NHVN to win.
Projected score
27–22
MRST – NHVN
2026-08-28 · 6:00 PM
Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium · West Haven, CT
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Marist lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
44 ranks apart
Marist Red Foxes #128 rush offense
New Haven Chargers #84 run defense
Pass game
edge New Haven Chargers
60 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #151 pass offense
New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense
Run game
edge Marist Red Foxes
148 ranks
New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense
Marist Red Foxes #15 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense
Marist Red Foxes #138 pass defense
Marist Red Foxes
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
New Haven Chargers
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Marist Red Foxes
DB
Tyrell Powell
13 tkl · 6 PD
#98 DB
DL
Jordan Caldwell
1 tkl
#115 DL
DB
Chase Hatton
15 tkl · 4 PD
#106 DB
LB
Kade Werner
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#207 LB
New Haven Chargers
DB
Myles Hansford
14 tkl · 2 PD
#196 DB
DL
Tyler Hammel
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#273 DL
DB
Mason Taylor
20 tkl
#294 DB
P
Joe Fragale
14 punts · 41.5 yd avg
#33 P
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Marist offense vs New Haven defense-3.1 pts
New Haven offense vs Marist defense-10.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.