← Matchups

Franklin Pierce

· 0-1 · power -7.2 · #267

Our numberFRAN -3.6 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Marist

· 1-2 · power -13.4 · #332

Final FRAN 18 · MRST 27 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineFRAN to win logged ours 42%

Our number: FRAN by 1.3 — FRAN to win.

Projected score 26–23 FRAN – MRST

2026-09-04 · 7:00 PM Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field · Poughkeepsie, NY Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Marist Red Foxes Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Franklin Pierce Ravens

DL Damir Stone 7 tkl · 0.5 TFL #399 DL

WR Raj Hillhouse 3 rec · 35 yds · 2 TD #286 WR

DL Damon Smith 5 tkl #664 DL

DL Darian Lopez-Sullivan 4 tkl · 0.5 TFL #944 DL

Marist Red Foxes

DB Tyrell Powell 13 tkl · 6 PD #98 DB

DL Jordan Caldwell 1 tkl #115 DL

DB Chase Hatton 15 tkl · 4 PD #106 DB

LB Kade Werner 23 tkl · 2.5 TFL #207 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Franklin Pierce Ravens	-7.2	-2.8	-4.4	#267
Marist Red Foxes	-13.4	-14.3	+0.9	#332

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Franklin Pierce offense vs Marist defense-3.6 pts

Marist offense vs Franklin Pierce defense-9.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.