← Matchups

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our numberPRES -2.9 no book has priced this game

Marist

· 1-2 · power -13.4 · #332
Our side
MoneylinePRES to win ours 44%
Projected score 27–24 PRES – MRST
2026-09-26 · 12:00 PM Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field · Poughkeepsie, NY Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Marist lead 3–2 · 5 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Marist Red Foxes 72 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense Marist Red Foxes #15 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 134 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense Marist Red Foxes #138 pass defense
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 87 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #128 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 136 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #151 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Marist Red Foxes Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR
Marist Red Foxes
DB Tyrell Powell 13 tkl · 6 PD #98 DB
DL Jordan Caldwell 1 tkl #115 DL
DB Chase Hatton 15 tkl · 4 PD #106 DB
LB Kade Werner 23 tkl · 2.5 TFL #207 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271
Marist Red Foxes -13.4 -14.3 +0.9 #332

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Presbyterian offense vs Marist defense-1.7 pts
Marist offense vs Presbyterian defense-7.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 661 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.