← Matchups

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our numberPRES -4.7 no book has priced this game

Morehead State

· 1-2 · power -15.1 · #345
Our side
MoneylinePRES to win ours 39%
Projected score 34–30 PRES – MORE
2026-11-14 · 12:00 PM Phil Simms Stadium · Morehead, KY Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Morehead State and Presbyterian split 6 (3–3) · 6 meetings since 2020
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 176 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense Morehead State Eagles #263 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 174 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense Morehead State Eagles #178 pass defense
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 209 ranks
Morehead State Eagles #250 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 79 ranks
Morehead State Eagles #94 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Morehead State Eagles Balanced · 55% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR
Morehead State Eagles
DB Tazion McQueen 10 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #96 DB
DB Sidney Webb 4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #125 DB
DB Isaiah Watts 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #148 DB
WR Cross Watson 4 rec · 132 yds · 3 TD #207 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271
Morehead State Eagles -15.1 -2.7 -12.4 #345

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Presbyterian offense vs Morehead State defense+11.6 pts
Morehead State offense vs Presbyterian defense+4.3 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.