← Matchups

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our numberMER -11.2 no book has priced this game

Mercer

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.3 · #168
Final PRES 3 · MER 62 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMER to win logged ours 73%

Our number: MER by 4.3 — MER to win.

Projected score 24–35 PRES – MER
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM Five Star Stadium · Macon, GA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Mercer lead 4–2 · 6 meetings since 1934
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Mercer Bears 69 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense Mercer Bears #18 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 183 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense Mercer Bears #187 pass defense
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 81 ranks
Mercer Bears #122 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game even 2 ranks apart
Mercer Bears #13 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Mercer Bears Balanced · 51% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR
Mercer Bears
DB Cameron Goggins 8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #70 DB
WR Brayden Smith 17 rec · 284 yds · 1 TD #66 WR
LB Jyarius Carter 23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #73 LB
DB Justin Ferguson 10 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #151 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271
Mercer Bears +0.3 -0.4 +0.8 #168

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Presbyterian offense vs Mercer defense-1.6 pts
Mercer offense vs Presbyterian defense+6.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.