← Matchups

St. Thomas-Minnesota

· 2-1 · power -2.0 · #198
Our numberSTMN -3.2 no book has priced this game

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our side
MoneylineSTMN to win ours 42%
Projected score 32–29 STMN – PRES
2026-10-03 · 1:00 PM Bailey Memorial Stadium · Clinton, SC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series St. Thomas (MN) lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 105 ranks
St. Thomas Tommies #146 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game even 33 ranks apart
St. Thomas Tommies #48 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Run game edge St. Thomas Tommies 73 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense St. Thomas Tommies #14 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 237 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense St. Thomas Tommies #241 pass defense
St. Thomas Tommies Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
St. Thomas Tommies
DB Peyton Himley 14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #85 DB
LB Malachi Boadi-Aboagye 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #60 LB
WR Pierce McCrary 13 rec · 172 yds · 1 TD #142 WR
DL Evan Tyler 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #282 DL
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
St. Thomas Tommies -2.0 +1.0 -3.0 #198
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
St. Thomas-Minnesota offense vs Presbyterian defense+8.1 pts
Presbyterian offense vs St. Thomas-Minnesota defense+2.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 937 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.