Our side
MoneylineFAMU to win
ours 54%
Projected score
28–30
AAMU – FAMU
2026-09-26 · 7:00 PM
Bragg Memorial Stadium · Tallahassee, FL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida A&M lead
5–0
· 5 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
9 ranks apart
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #219 rush offense
Florida A&M Rattlers #228 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama A&M Bulldogs
66 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #176 pass offense
Florida A&M Rattlers #242 pass defense
Run game
even
43 ranks apart
Florida A&M Rattlers #173 rush offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #130 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida A&M Rattlers
119 ranks
Florida A&M Rattlers #142 pass offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #261 pass defense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Florida A&M Rattlers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
DB
Jeremiah Hudson-Davis
35 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#10 DB
DL
Kylon Roberts
17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#54 DL
WR
Jarel Williams
16 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
#47 WR
DL
Arenza Davis
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#113 DL
Florida A&M Rattlers
DB
Justin Bostic
10 tkl · 2 INT
#44 DB
LB
Denzel Johnson
14 tkl
#218 LB
P
Bobby Engstler
25 punts · 40.0 yd avg
#39 P
DB
Caleb McKenzie
4 tkl
#687 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Alabama A&M offense vs Florida A&M defense+0.6 pts
Florida A&M offense vs Alabama A&M defense+3.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-3.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment+5.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).