← Matchups

Incarnate Word

· 1-1 · power +0.1 · #174
Our numberUIW -6.8 no book has priced this game

SE Louisiana

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -9.2 · #287
Our side
MoneylineUIW to win ours 34%
Projected score 33–26 UIW – SELA
2026-11-07 · 7:00 PM Strawberry Stadium · Hammond, LA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Incarnate Word lead 7–6 · 13 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge SE Louisiana Lions 83 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense SE Louisiana Lions #77 run defense
Pass game edge SE Louisiana Lions 164 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense SE Louisiana Lions #8 pass defense
Run game even 7 ranks apart
SE Louisiana Lions #44 rush offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game edge SE Louisiana Lions 71 ranks
SE Louisiana Lions #98 pass offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Incarnate Word Cardinals Balanced · 52% run Avg pace SE Louisiana Lions Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL Jeremiah Young 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #28 DL
RB Lontrell Turner 153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #60 RB
LB Christian Barney 18 tkl · 1.0 TFL #103 LB
WR Isaiah Champagne 12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD #159 WR
SE Louisiana Lions
TE Lonnie Shinn 6 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD #24 TE
DL Amiree Alexander 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #165 DL
LB Trace Carter 23 tkl #104 LB
DB Carter Byrd 20 tkl · 1 PD #214 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Incarnate Word Cardinals +0.1 +3.7 -3.7 #174
SE Louisiana Lions -9.2 -5.2 -4.0 #287

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Incarnate Word offense vs SE Louisiana defense+7.7 pts
SE Louisiana offense vs Incarnate Word defense-1.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 484 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.