Our side
MoneylineMCN to win
ours 38%
Projected score
29–24
MCN – SELA
2026-11-14 · 7:00 PM
Strawberry Stadium · Hammond, LA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
SE Louisiana lead
13–10
· 23 meetings since 1979
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
5 ranks apart
McNeese Cowboys #82 rush offense
SE Louisiana Lions #77 run defense
Pass game
edge SE Louisiana Lions
198 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #206 pass offense
SE Louisiana Lions #8 pass defense
Run game
edge SE Louisiana Lions
197 ranks
SE Louisiana Lions #44 rush offense
McNeese Cowboys #241 run defense
Pass game
even
21 ranks apart
SE Louisiana Lions #98 pass offense
McNeese Cowboys #77 pass defense
McNeese Cowboys
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
SE Louisiana Lions
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
McNeese Cowboys
DL
RJ Staten
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#53 DL
WR
Elisha Edwards
16 rec · 240 yds · 3 TD
#32 WR
RB
Omiri Wiggins
217 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec
#25 RB
WR
Curtis Deville
12 rec · 213 yds · 3 TD
#54 WR
SE Louisiana Lions
TE
Lonnie Shinn
6 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD
#24 TE
DL
Amiree Alexander
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#165 DL
LB
Trace Carter
23 tkl
#104 LB
DB
Carter Byrd
20 tkl · 1 PD
#214 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
McNeese offense vs SE Louisiana defense+0.5 pts
SE Louisiana offense vs McNeese defense-5.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment-3.4
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).