Our side
MoneylineALST to win
ours 50%
Projected score
31–31
ALST – BCU
2026-10-03 · 4:00 PM
Daytona Stadium · Daytona Beach, FL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama State lead
5–3
· 8 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Alabama State Hornets
259 ranks
Alabama State Hornets #5 rush offense
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #264 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama State Hornets
119 ranks
Alabama State Hornets #1 pass offense
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #120 pass defense
Run game
edge Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
52 ranks
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #194 rush offense
Alabama State Hornets #246 run defense
Pass game
even
42 ranks apart
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #88 pass offense
Alabama State Hornets #46 pass defense
Alabama State Hornets
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 65 rush ypg
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama State Hornets
RB
Jamarie Hostzclaw
169 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#111 RB
DB
Ta'Shaun Sims
15 tkl · 1 PD
#301 DB
DB
Zion Crawford
8 tkl · 3 PD
#406 DB
DL
Jaylan Jarrett
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#542 DL
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
DL
Isaiah Washburn
11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#268 DL
DL
Lewon Lurry Jr
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#312 DL
DL
Noel Brown
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#356 DL
DB
Naim Lassiter
12 tkl
#446 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Alabama State offense vs Bethune-Cookman defense+6.7 pts
Bethune-Cookman offense vs Alabama State defense+3.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.