← Matchups

Tennessee Tech

· 3-0 · power +6.4 · #109
Our numberTNTC -12.9 no book has priced this game

Chattanooga

· 1-2 · power -8.8 · #281
Final TNTC 24 · UTC 9 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win logged ours 24%

Our number: TNTC by 7.8 — TNTC to win.

Projected score 32–19 TNTC – UTC
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM Finley Stadium · Chattanooga, TN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Chattanooga lead 9–5 · 14 meetings since 1945
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 129 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense Chattanooga Mocs #146 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 144 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense Chattanooga Mocs #215 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 116 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #127 rush offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 200 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #223 pass offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Balanced · 49% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg Chattanooga Mocs Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL Hudson Tucker 10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #46 DL
WR Gabe Nunez 11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD #137 WR
WR Tre' Holloway 12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD #138 WR
RB Qua Ashley 120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #119 RB
Chattanooga Mocs
DB Keyshawn Jackson 18 tkl · 5 PD #69 DB
RB Kevin Lalin 290 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #51 RB
LB Zion Rutledge 24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #115 LB
DB Kam Baah-Slay 12 tkl · 2 PD #230 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.4 +2.2 +4.2 #109
Chattanooga Mocs -8.8 -7.8 -1.0 #281

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee Tech offense vs Chattanooga defense+3.2 pts
Chattanooga offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-11.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.