Our side
MoneylineFUR to win
ours 74%
Projected score
18–29
UTC – FUR
2026-11-14 · 1:00 PM
Paladin Stadium · Greenville, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Furman and Chattanooga split 34 (17–17)
· 34 meetings since 1928
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
38 ranks apart
Chattanooga Mocs #127 rush offense
Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game
edge Furman Paladins
67 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #223 pass offense
Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Run game
edge Chattanooga Mocs
68 ranks
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense
Chattanooga Mocs #146 run defense
Pass game
edge Furman Paladins
50 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense
Chattanooga Mocs #215 pass defense
Chattanooga Mocs
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Furman Paladins
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Chattanooga Mocs
DB
Keyshawn Jackson
18 tkl · 5 PD
#69 DB
RB
Kevin Lalin
290 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#51 RB
LB
Zion Rutledge
24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#115 LB
DB
Kam Baah-Slay
12 tkl · 2 PD
#230 DB
Furman Paladins
DB
Eli Lipscomb
12 tkl
#127 DB
DB
Caleb Easterling
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#144 DB
WR
Daniel Haughton
12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD
#140 WR
DL
Joshua Stoneking
10 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#265 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Chattanooga offense vs Furman defense-12.5 pts
Furman offense vs Chattanooga defense-4.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment+11.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).