Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win
ours 28%
Projected score
35–25
TNTC – ETSU
2026-10-31 · 3:30 PM
William B. Greene Jr. Stadium · Johnson City, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
East Tennessee State lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 1981
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
85 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #102 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
117 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #188 pass defense
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
61 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #72 rush offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
152 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #175 pass offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL
Hudson Tucker
10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#46 DL
WR
Gabe Nunez
11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD
#137 WR
WR
Tre' Holloway
12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD
#138 WR
RB
Qua Ashley
120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#119 RB
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
LB
Dre Delinois
32 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#54 LB
RB
TJ Peyton
253 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#42 RB
TE
Charlie Browder
11 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#22 TE
DL
Charles Woodard
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#153 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Tennessee Tech offense vs East Tennessee State defense+9.4 pts
East Tennessee State offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-1.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment-8.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).