← Matchups

East Tennessee State

· 1-2 · power -4.6 · #237
Our numberWOF -1.8 no book has priced this game

Wofford

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #246
Our side
MoneylineWOF to win ours 55%
Projected score 26–28 ETSU – WOF
2026-11-14 · 1:30 PM Gibbs Stadium · Spartanburg, SC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wofford lead 7–5 · 12 meetings since 1980
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Wofford Terriers 65 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #72 rush offense Wofford Terriers #7 run defense
Pass game edge Wofford Terriers 79 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #175 pass offense Wofford Terriers #96 pass defense
Run game edge East Tennessee State Buccaneers 128 ranks
Wofford Terriers #230 rush offense East Tennessee State Buccaneers #102 run defense
Pass game even 26 ranks apart
Wofford Terriers #214 pass offense East Tennessee State Buccaneers #188 pass defense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Wofford Terriers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
LB Dre Delinois 32 tkl · 1.0 TFL #54 LB
RB TJ Peyton 253 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec #42 RB
TE Charlie Browder 11 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD #22 TE
DL Charles Woodard 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #153 DL
Wofford Terriers
LB Wyatt Ward 28 tkl · 2.5 TFL #16 LB
RB Gerald Modest Jr. 246 rush yds · 4 TD · 6 rec #26 RB
DB Cole Walker 14 tkl · 5 PD #75 DB
LB Javario Tinch 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #86 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
East Tennessee State Buccaneers -4.6 +2.6 -7.2 #237
Wofford Terriers -5.1 -10.2 +5.0 #246

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
East Tennessee State offense vs Wofford defense-2.5 pts
Wofford offense vs East Tennessee State defense-3.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment+2.2

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).