Final
UAPB 51 · ALCN 53
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineALCN to win logged
ours 57%
Our number: ALCN by 4.8 — ALCN to win.
Projected score
31–34
UAPB – ALCN
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN · neutral
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alcorn State lead
8–6
· 14 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Alcorn State Braves
130 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #195 rush offense
Alcorn State Braves #65 run defense
Pass game
edge Alcorn State Braves
231 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #258 pass offense
Alcorn State Braves #27 pass defense
Run game
edge Alcorn State Braves
137 ranks
Alcorn State Braves #103 rush offense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #240 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Alcorn State Braves #195 pass offense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #226 pass defense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Alcorn State Braves
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
DB
Michael Henderson
21 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#7 DB
DL
Derick Simon Jr.
19 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#75 DL
DL
Keiyhaun Wilks
13 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#188 DL
LB
Danarius Hilliard
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#142 LB
Alcorn State Braves
DB
Timothy Jasper
31 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#17 DB
WR
Tyree Kelly
11 rec · 231 yds · 3 TD
#100 WR
DL
Eric Thomas
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#189 DL
RB
Ernest Temple
187 rush yds · 2 TD · 7 rec
#78 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Arkansas-Pine Bluff offense vs Alcorn State defense+8.7 pts
Alcorn State offense vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff defense+11.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.