Our side
MoneylinePV to win
ours 76%
Projected score
25–36
ALCN – PV
2026-10-17 · 3:00 PM
Panther Stadium · Prairie View, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alcorn State and Prairie View A&M split 18 (9–9)
· 18 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
61 ranks
Alcorn State Braves #103 rush offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
176 ranks
Alcorn State Braves #195 pass offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Run game
even
7 ranks apart
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense
Alcorn State Braves #65 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense
Alcorn State Braves #27 pass defense
Alcorn State Braves
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Alcorn State Braves
DB
Timothy Jasper
31 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#17 DB
WR
Tyree Kelly
11 rec · 231 yds · 3 TD
#100 WR
DL
Eric Thomas
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#189 DL
RB
Ernest Temple
187 rush yds · 2 TD · 7 rec
#78 RB
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB
Kamrin Canterbury
27 tkl · 2 PD
#36 DB
DB
Malachi Williams
11 tkl · 1 INT
#102 DB
DB
Nahamani Harris
21 tkl · 2 PD
#123 DB
DL
Malik Gucake
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#154 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Alcorn State offense vs Prairie View A&M defense-0.7 pts
Prairie View A&M offense vs Alcorn State defense+9.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).