← Matchups

Furman

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -0.6 · #188
Our numberTNTC -10.8 no book has priced this game

Tennessee Tech

· 3-0 · power +6.4 · #109
Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win ours 75%
Projected score 20–30 FUR – TNTC
2026-10-10 · 3:30 PM Tucker Stadium · Cookeville, TN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Furman lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 203 ranks
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 142 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 148 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 85 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Furman Paladins Balanced · 47% run Ball-control Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Balanced · 49% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Furman Paladins
DB Eli Lipscomb 12 tkl #127 DB
DB Caleb Easterling 8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #144 DB
WR Daniel Haughton 12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD #140 WR
DL Joshua Stoneking 10 tkl · 2.0 TFL #265 DL
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL Hudson Tucker 10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #46 DL
WR Gabe Nunez 11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD #137 WR
WR Tre' Holloway 12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD #138 WR
RB Qua Ashley 120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #119 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Furman Paladins -0.6 -5.3 +4.7 #188
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +6.4 +2.2 +4.2 #109

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Furman offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-9.5 pts
Tennessee Tech offense vs Furman defense-2.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment+10.1

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).