Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win
ours 71%
Projected score
23–32
MER – TNTC
2026-11-14 · 2:30 PM
Tucker Stadium · Cookeville, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Mercer and Tennessee Tech split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
111 ranks
Mercer Bears #122 rush offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game
even
10 ranks apart
Mercer Bears #13 pass offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Run game
even
1 ranks apart
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense
Mercer Bears #18 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
116 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense
Mercer Bears #187 pass defense
Mercer Bears
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mercer Bears
DB
Cameron Goggins
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#70 DB
WR
Brayden Smith
17 rec · 284 yds · 1 TD
#66 WR
LB
Jyarius Carter
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#73 LB
DB
Justin Ferguson
10 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#151 DB
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL
Hudson Tucker
10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#46 DL
WR
Gabe Nunez
11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD
#137 WR
WR
Tre' Holloway
12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD
#138 WR
RB
Qua Ashley
120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#119 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mercer offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-4.6 pts
Tennessee Tech offense vs Mercer defense+1.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+9.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).