Final
SAM 19 · TNTC 45
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win logged
ours 93%
Our number: TNTC by 28.9 — TNTC to win.
Projected score
12–39
SAM – TNTC
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM
Tucker Stadium · Cookeville, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Samford lead
5–4
· 9 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
252 ranks
Samford Bulldogs #263 rush offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
219 ranks
Samford Bulldogs #242 pass offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
201 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense
Samford Bulldogs #218 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
121 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense
Samford Bulldogs #192 pass defense
Samford Bulldogs
Pass-heavy · 39% run
Ball-control
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Samford Bulldogs
DB
LaShon Young
21 tkl · 1 PD
#53 DB
DB
Jalen Nelson
25 tkl
#101 DB
WR
Marquise Henderson
9 rec · 218 yds · 1 TD
#92 WR
LB
Spencer Conn
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#90 LB
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL
Hudson Tucker
10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#46 DL
WR
Gabe Nunez
11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD
#137 WR
WR
Tre' Holloway
12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD
#138 WR
RB
Qua Ashley
120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#119 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Samford offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-15.8 pts
Tennessee Tech offense vs Samford defense+7.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.