Our side
MoneylineWCU to win
ours 79%
Projected score
27–39
CIT – WCU
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM
E.J. Whitmire Stadium · Cullowhee, NC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
The Citadel lead
17–12
· 29 meetings since 1972
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
16 ranks apart
The Citadel Bulldogs #203 rush offense
Western Carolina Catamounts #219 run defense
Pass game
edge The Citadel Bulldogs
179 ranks
The Citadel Bulldogs #26 pass offense
Western Carolina Catamounts #205 pass defense
Run game
even
11 ranks apart
Western Carolina Catamounts #162 rush offense
The Citadel Bulldogs #151 run defense
Pass game
edge Western Carolina Catamounts
235 ranks
Western Carolina Catamounts #24 pass offense
The Citadel Bulldogs #259 pass defense
The Citadel Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 81% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg
Western Carolina Catamounts
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
The Citadel Bulldogs
LB
Zyion Brown
28 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#19 LB
RB
Gavin Garcia
289 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec
#21 RB
DB
J'hari Mosley
18 tkl · 1 INT
#150 DB
RB
Sebastien Boyle
94 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#137 RB
Western Carolina Catamounts
DB
Andre Jackson Jr.
18 tkl · 4 PD
#80 DB
DL
Caleb Turner-Allen
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#144 DL
TE
Bode Burns
10 rec · 99 yds · 1 TD
#40 TE
LB
Joshua Collins
19 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#121 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
The Citadel offense vs Western Carolina defense+4.3 pts
Western Carolina offense vs The Citadel defense+15.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.9
Altitude · context only650 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.