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Prairie View A&M

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #245
Our numberPV -11.0 no book has priced this game

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -18.2 · #366
Our side
MoneylinePV to win ours 25%
Projected score 37–26 PV – UAPB
2026-11-14 · 3:00 PM Simmons Bank Field · Pine Bluff, AR Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Prairie View A&M lead 14–6 · 20 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Prairie View A&M Panthers 182 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #240 run defense
Pass game edge Prairie View A&M Panthers 173 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #226 pass defense
Run game edge Prairie View A&M Panthers 153 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #195 rush offense Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game edge Prairie View A&M Panthers 239 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #258 pass offense Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Prairie View A&M Panthers Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB Kamrin Canterbury 27 tkl · 2 PD #36 DB
DB Malachi Williams 11 tkl · 1 INT #102 DB
DB Nahamani Harris 21 tkl · 2 PD #123 DB
DL Malik Gucake 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #154 DL
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
DB Michael Henderson 21 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT #7 DB
DL Derick Simon Jr. 19 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #75 DL
DL Keiyhaun Wilks 13 tkl · 3.0 TFL #188 DL
LB Danarius Hilliard 26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #142 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Prairie View A&M Panthers -5.1 -1.9 -3.2 #245
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions -18.2 -2.7 -15.4 #366

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Prairie View A&M offense vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff defense+13.5 pts
Arkansas-Pine Bluff offense vs Prairie View A&M defense+0.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-10.6

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).