← Matchups

Bethune-Cookman

· 1-1 · power -10.4 · #300
Our numberBCU -6.6 no book has priced this game

Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -19.5 · #373
Our side
MoneylineBCU to win ours 34%
Projected score 35–29 BCU – SOU
2026-11-07 · 3:00 PM A.W. Mumford Stadium · Baton Rouge, LA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Southern lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 8 ranks apart
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #194 rush offense Southern Jaguars #202 run defense
Pass game edge Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 94 ranks
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #88 pass offense Southern Jaguars #182 pass defense
Run game edge Southern Jaguars 151 ranks
Southern Jaguars #113 rush offense Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #264 run defense
Pass game edge Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 99 ranks
Southern Jaguars #219 pass offense Bethune-Cookman Wildcats #120 pass defense
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg Southern Jaguars Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
DL Isaiah Washburn 11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL #268 DL
DL Lewon Lurry Jr 5 tkl · 1.5 TFL #312 DL
DL Noel Brown 8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #356 DL
DB Naim Lassiter 12 tkl #446 DB
Southern Jaguars
DB Tay James 8 tkl · 1 INT #79 DB
DL Ckelby Givens 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #119 DL
RB Trey Holly 141 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #184 RB
DB Ty Lee 9 tkl · 1 PD #525 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats -10.4 +1.1 -11.5 #300
Southern Jaguars -19.5 -8.4 -11.1 #373

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bethune-Cookman offense vs Southern defense+12.2 pts
Southern offense vs Bethune-Cookman defense+3.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 610 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.