Our side
MoneylineFAMU to win
ours 82%
Projected score
20–35
MVSU – FAMU
2026-11-14 · 3:00 PM
Bragg Memorial Stadium · Tallahassee, FL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida A&M lead
4–2
· 6 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
33 ranks apart
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #261 rush offense
Florida A&M Rattlers #228 run defense
Pass game
even
6 ranks apart
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #236 pass offense
Florida A&M Rattlers #242 pass defense
Run game
even
32 ranks apart
Florida A&M Rattlers #173 rush offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #205 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida A&M Rattlers
114 ranks
Florida A&M Rattlers #142 pass offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #256 pass defense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Florida A&M Rattlers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
DB
Tyrell Johnson
6 tkl · 1 INT
#81 DB
LB
Douglas Franklin
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#146 LB
TE
Jaylen King
12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD
#53 TE
DB
Jamari Stokes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#322 DB
Florida A&M Rattlers
DB
Justin Bostic
10 tkl · 2 INT
#44 DB
LB
Denzel Johnson
14 tkl
#218 LB
P
Bobby Engstler
25 punts · 40.0 yd avg
#39 P
DB
Caleb McKenzie
4 tkl
#687 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mississippi Valley State offense vs Florida A&M defense-7.5 pts
Florida A&M offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+6.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+17.1
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 414 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.