Our side
MoneylineGRAM to win
ours 17%
Projected score
37–22
GRAM – SOU
2026-11-28 · 2:00 PM
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA · neutral
Conference game
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Southern lead
11–9
· 20 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
26 ranks apart
Grambling Tigers #176 rush offense
Southern Jaguars #202 run defense
Pass game
even
19 ranks apart
Grambling Tigers #163 pass offense
Southern Jaguars #182 pass defense
Run game
even
21 ranks apart
Southern Jaguars #113 rush offense
Grambling Tigers #92 run defense
Pass game
edge Grambling Tigers
179 ranks
Southern Jaguars #219 pass offense
Grambling Tigers #40 pass defense
Grambling Tigers
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Southern Jaguars
Run-heavy · 65% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Grambling Tigers
DB
Jalen Guillard
14 tkl · 4 PD
#185 DB
RB
Byron Eaton Jr.
79 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#120 RB
WR
Jordan Bride
14 rec · 221 yds
#181 WR
WR
Tyson George
15 rec · 160 yds · 1 TD
#194 WR
Southern Jaguars
DB
Tay James
8 tkl · 1 INT
#79 DB
DL
Ckelby Givens
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#119 DL
RB
Trey Holly
141 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#184 RB
DB
Ty Lee
9 tkl · 1 PD
#525 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Grambling offense vs Southern defense+10.2 pts
Southern offense vs Grambling defense-2.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment-12.7
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).