← Matchups

Edward Waters

· 0-1 · power -27.8 · #394

Our numberJKST -24.6 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Jackson State

· 2-0 · power -6.7 · #259

Final EDWA 14 · JKST 66 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineJKST to win logged ours 92%

Our number: JKST by 26.2 — JKST to win.

Projected score 18–42 EDWA – JKST

2026-09-05 · 7:30 PM Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium · Jackson, MS Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Jackson State lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2020

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Jackson State Tigers Run-heavy · 65% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Edward Waters Tigers

DL Dylan McCarthy 3 tkl #35 DL

DL Mataye Youman 9 tkl #346 DL

DL Trevon French 9 tkl #514 DL

DL Ande King 4 tkl · 1.0 TFL #1011 DL

Jackson State Tigers

K Andrew Ivaniciuc 5 FG · 8 XP · 23 pts #32 K

RB Nate Blount IV 168 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #125 RB

WR Jabari Jones 7 rec · 173 yds · 1 TD #198 WR

WR Nate Rembert 7 rec · 188 yds #325 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Edward Waters Tigers	-27.8	-13.4	-14.4	#394
Jackson State Tigers	-6.7	+0.0	-6.8	#259

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Edward Waters offense vs Jackson State defense-6.6 pts

Jackson State offense vs Edward Waters defense+14.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.